D1 Projections

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Omar Bongo
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D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Mon Nov 11, 2019 7:56 pm

Calpreps came out with their projections...

JSerra 28 at Centennial 38

Bishop Amat 8 at Mater Dei 49

Servite 24 at Mission Viejo 31

Calabasas 17 at St. John Bosco 50

http://www.calpreps.com/cgi-bin/2019/we ... ?week=9_13

Whaddiya think? I see...

Centennial winning by more

MD calling off the dogs early and winning by less

Servite pulling the upset

SJB score...just about right

insidetrinity
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by insidetrinity » Mon Nov 11, 2019 7:59 pm

I’d take centennial by 14 and servite over mission Viejo I think. Mater dei and Bosco should both be blowouts

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Mon Nov 11, 2019 8:09 pm

MD is certainly capable but I think they should pull some starters if they get a big lead...they're not very deep, why risk injury
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
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jb914
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by jb914 » Mon Nov 11, 2019 8:12 pm

I'm pretty sure MD pulled some starters in the Jserra game. I expect them to do the same against Amat

FriarJoe
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by FriarJoe » Mon Nov 11, 2019 8:57 pm

Reasonable scores except CC is winning by at least 4 TDs and probably 5

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Mon Nov 11, 2019 9:01 pm

Talking specifically about BY, no reason for him to play most of the 2nd half. I remember Rollo pulling JT in the 3rd qtr. after 1 series...
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
George Will

"How stupid is our country?"
Donald Trump

FriarJoe
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by FriarJoe » Mon Nov 11, 2019 10:33 pm

What a sad state of affairs. MD is facing a 9-1 mission league champ and we are debating when the starters will be pulled for MD. There isn’t even a hint of anyone thinking the game could be competitive at all.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Mon Nov 11, 2019 11:50 pm

Well, we're talking about the #1 team in the country. Don't feel sorry for Amat, they went 9-1 (including two 1-point squeakers) against a pretty average schedule with only 1 win against a top 300 team, yet they get to hang a league championship banner...

BoscoBrave
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by BoscoBrave » Tue Nov 12, 2019 12:31 am

Bosco and MD are one injury away from losing.

2002tony
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by 2002tony » Tue Nov 12, 2019 2:14 am

FriarJoe wrote:
> What a sad state of affairs. MD is facing a 9-1 mission league champ and we
> are debating when the starters will be pulled for MD. There isn’t even a
> hint of anyone thinking the game could be competitive at all.

I agree with Omar, what are you thinking.
# 1 in the country MD blew out ( in today's rating, these teams were higher when they played MD) the number 27 team in the USA in Corona Centennial 42 -12,

MaxPreps writer poll ranking # 24 in the country St Jones 53-24

# 4 in the country still today but was # 2 at the time of the game in St Francis 34-18 where they had them 24 -6 at the half and 34-6 more then half way thru the 3rd qtr.

# 2 in the country in Bosco where MD was leading 31 -10 more then half way thru the 3rd Qtr. and 38 -17 into the 4th qtr.

Bishop Amat is barely in the top 100 at 98 and is no where close to those teams and ppl sound surprised that it is going to be a lop sided game. Not until MD plays Bosco again should there be a game that is even a close or competitive game. Bishop Amat is the 8th ranked team in the playoffs, the 6th ranked team got blown out 56-11 and the 7th ranked team 51-14.

It is not that these other teams that MD has played are not good, it is MD has shown to be the best team in the country. So far, teams near the top in the country or even the second best teams in the country have not been close.

Why post that BA is going to get killed or any kind of remark that makes them sound like they are not a good football team. They are, they are 9-1, but it is just that MD is a great team.

We should just relish in the fact we get the watch and admire the best team around that plays in our playground and not on the east coast. We get to watch that kind of a team first hand and not some other team who we dont get to watch and says they are the best team.

OutOfState
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by OutOfState » Tue Nov 12, 2019 4:23 am

Calpreps looks about right except for JSerra. Centennial is going to boat race them. 38 points is more likely what they will have at halftime.
Servite /MV should be a great game. That is a tough game to pick.
Last edited by OutOfState on Tue Nov 12, 2019 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.

FriarJoe
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by FriarJoe » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:54 am

I don’t think MD-Amat will be competitive in any way. That wasn’t my point. I know it’s going to be a blowout and that Amat hasn’t beat anyone good. My point is that the top playoff bracket in CA or maybe America has one game where the consensus is that there may be 1 first round game that just might be competitive.

I’ve been relishing watching these great teams have blowouts for a few years. I’m all relished out now.

Kuppster
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Kuppster » Tue Nov 12, 2019 11:49 am

Cen10 by much more and I'm going with Servite over MV, and i dont consider that an upset.

hocyouthguy
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by hocyouthguy » Tue Nov 12, 2019 12:26 pm

Omar Bongo wrote:
> Calpreps came out with their projections...
>
> JSerra 28 at Centennial 38
>
> Bishop Amat 8 at Mater Dei 49
>
> Servite 24 at Mission Viejo 31
>
> Calabasas 17 at St. John Bosco 50
>
> http://www.calpreps.com/cgi-bin/2019/we ... ?week=9_13
>
> Whaddiya think? I see...
>
> Centennial winning by more
>
> MD calling off the dogs early and winning by less
>
> Servite pulling the upset
>
> SJB score...just about right

Agree with you on all counts.

hocyouthguy
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by hocyouthguy » Tue Nov 12, 2019 12:28 pm

BoscoBrave wrote:
> Bosco and MD are one injury away from losing.

To each other, yes, but not to anyone else; even without DJ or BY.

2002tony
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by 2002tony » Tue Nov 12, 2019 3:01 pm

I agree that it is only to each other. Everyone still has to score on those defenses where there has not been much luck by anyone other then themselves.

Lose DJ or BY, here comes a heavy dose of their run game and all those D1 offensive linemen will step it up a notice.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Tue Nov 12, 2019 4:24 pm

Friar Joe:
My point is that the top playoff bracket in CA or maybe America has one game where the consensus is that there may be 1 first round game that just might be competitive.


Yeah, but it's only 8 teams with only four 1st round games. Since 1 of the 4 games is considered "competitive", that's a 25% ratio.

And I'm not sure why you say it's the " top playoff bracket in CA or maybe America". Yes, it does include the national #1, #3, #15 and #27. But have seen Texas 6A D1 bracket? It's insane, 64 teams including the national #9, #10, #13, #17, #26, #30 (for reference CC is #27, Servite is #34)

https://www.maxpreps.com/tournament/-w8 ... a-d1--.htm

FriarJoe
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by FriarJoe » Tue Nov 12, 2019 6:53 pm

With 64 teams, you are bound to have highly ranked teams. When looking at it per capita, the CA D1 8 team bracket is tougher. Hard to compare hard numbers when comparing an 8 team bracket to a 64 team bracket. Maybe we could use the average ranking of the teams in the tournament and using that I can assure you the CA bracket is tougher.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Tue Nov 12, 2019 9:16 pm

The Texas tourney is 6 games from the 1st round to the final...that's pretty tough too

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Omar Bongo
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Re: D1 Projections

Post by Omar Bongo » Wed Nov 13, 2019 5:53 am

Something else of interest- if people here are right and MD and Servite both advance, it would be the first time in their 58-year rivalry they'd meet in the playoffs. Considering how many times they've both played the postseason that's pretty hard to believe
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
George Will

"How stupid is our country?"
Donald Trump

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