Bick wrote:That should be an easy task for you then. What specific, measurable indicator will we see in 2017 that would qualify as a disaster?
Let me help you with history.
Example 1. George W. Bush
In 2000 a GOP was elected president (coincidentally he also lost the popular vote). That president had a same party majorities in both houses congress. The economy had a minor slump (which ended within six months of his administration), but unemployment was under 5%. The DJIA was 10,500. There was a minimal deficit. We zoom ahead to Jan. 20, 2009. The economy has been in a full scale recession for over a year. Unemployment is 7.8% and climbing. 500K people a month are losing their jobs. The Dow Jones is around 8,200 and headed south.
Example 2. Herbert Hoover
In Jan., 1929 a president with zero experience in elected office or military command is sworn into office with same party majorities in both houses congress. His claim to fame is that he is successful in business (sound familiar?) and promises, "a chicken in every pot and a car in every garage." Less than a year later the stock market crashed causing what we now call the Great Depression. It took almost a decade after Hoover lost his re-election bid for the American economy to recover. The silver lining was that a GOP president wouldn't see the Oval Office for 20 years. A GOP who get tossed out in a primary today given how he governed.
Will we see an economic collapse in 2017 like what we saw in 2008 or 1929? I don't know. I do know that history has not been kind to the American economy (and especially the middle class) when Trump like individuals have been elected with same party majorities.
They told me if I voted for Hillary Clinton the president would be emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable. They were right. I voted for Hillary Clinton and got a president that is emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable.