Pick a survey, any survey - even Rasmussen - and Donald's numbers have been sucking lately. Job performance, trade, international relations, immigration, purchasing indices, everything is down. Except for "the economy," which I think is only because people don't realize that it's interrelated with all the others. And there's a possible recession looming, which would kill that one. And they're all caused by Trump's policies, even the recession.
So. Bolton's out and there's believable rumors about softening sanctions on Iran and going along with the JCPOA in all ways except re-joining it, which has sent the price of oil down by almost $4 in the last two days. So far. It's still early.
And he's postponed his tariff increase by two weeks and China has dropped a few minor ones on their end (Dow up 300 on the news). He's still blaming the Fed for holding back the economy but the real cause - worldwide - is his freaking tariffs. He holds the cards on that and I think he's starting to get the hint. And he's starting to push strongly for Congress to act on NAFTA 1.01.
I don't know how he's going to sell it to the most hardcore members of his base but easing tensions with Iran and de-throttling the economy would play yugely with swing voters, some secular Conservatives and people with 401k's. No idea how he'd sell an Iran deal to Netanyahu or evangelicals - or the current Republican Party - but lower oil prices = votes.
And no idea how Democrats are going to react, other than "See? Obama was right." but all of the above would sure strengthen Donald's candidacy and it's starting to look like the people behind the scenes realize it. He'd still be a dangerous moron but he'd be a much stronger dangerous moron.
Don't look at me, I just work here.