The Democrats are down to three?

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Tommy Tar
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Tommy Tar » Sat Feb 22, 2020 1:49 pm

John Q. Public wrote:
Sat Feb 22, 2020 12:22 pm
Listening to the voice in the wall socket again, Tommy?
Ya. Democratic Underground.
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Tommy Tar
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Tommy Tar » Sat Feb 22, 2020 3:45 pm

Joe is tied for third with Mayor Pete early in NV. #-o
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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sat Feb 22, 2020 5:16 pm

Same playbook the deep state and fake news pulled on our President

YOUR president
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sat Feb 22, 2020 5:35 pm

I see Bernie declared the winner with 44%, then Biden (19%), Buttigieg (16%), and Warren (12%). With no reported glitches.

With 4% of the precincts counted.

::que::

But I make no claims about understanding how caucuses work.
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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sat Feb 22, 2020 6:36 pm

Tommy Tar wrote:Joe is tied for third with Mayor Pete early in NV.
Not sure what you're smoking, Tommy

With 11% reporting, Joe is 2nd behind Bernie with 25% of county delegates to Pete's 14.9%

https://us.cnn.com/election/2020/state/ ... btn_nevada

And earlier you were saying "Biden can't finish 4th or 5th again"...is a consistent narrative too much to ask for ?
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sat Feb 22, 2020 6:48 pm

I'm surprised Warren didn't do better after the debate. I'd pay money to watch a Trump-Warren debate.
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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sat Feb 22, 2020 6:55 pm

So a week from Tuesday here's what it's going to come down to:

Entrance polls show Biden won the black vote, the over-65s and people against Medicare for All...every group a direct contrast to Bernie's and his Bros

Sanders had months to work on turnout in NV...who turns out to vote in the 16 primaries on March 3?
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sat Feb 22, 2020 7:06 pm

Does Nevada have many young Democrats? Other than UNLV and UNR, it's seemed like all the young people I ever ran into there were either cowboys or aspiring felons.
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sat Feb 22, 2020 7:20 pm

Can't agree with this one more.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sat Feb 22, 2020 7:35 pm

According to Politico, "exit interviews of nearly 2,000 voters who cast their ballots early — showed Sanders winning 56 percent of voters under age 45 and an astounding 66 percent of those under 30"

Age-wise, can't find anything on today's turnout yet. That said, here are some interesting observations about the 2018 midterm turnout in NV from the Nevada Election Commission:

Nevada Elections@NVElect Nov 16, 2018
Some interesting #2018Election turnout data by age...
In Nevada, people 55 years old and older make up 41% of the active registered voters, yet they accounted for 50% percent of the ballots cast in the 2018 general election.

Conversely, people between the ages of 18 and 34 make up 28% of active registered voters in Nevada, yet they accounted for only 19% of the ballots cast in the 2018 general election.
4:37 AM - Nov 16, 2018


https://twitter.com/NVElect?ref_src=tws ... -age-group
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sat Feb 29, 2020 7:37 pm

Yuuge win for Uncle Joe in SC tonight, we'll see if this translates into Super Tuesday momentum...
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ShiftyMutt
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by ShiftyMutt » Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:25 am

I certainly hope so. This whole Bernie thing has me despondent. Though I understand WHY he’s got the momentum, just not happy that it’s been so divisive. Bernie is a symptom just like Trump.

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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by ShiftyMutt » Sun Mar 01, 2020 9:41 am

And Joe’s success in SC just pushed the envelope for Stacy Abrams’ value. She has what Joe lacks, the ability to energize. Apparently nearly every Dem candidate has talked with her.

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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sun Mar 01, 2020 11:11 am

Flashback to 2016: Bush dropped out after SC, leaving 5 candidates - Carson, Rubio, Cruz, Kasich and Donald going into Super Tuesday. Most people still considered that too many, even though only Cruz was especially competitive at that point.

The Democrats right now have 6 candidates - Bernie and Warren, polling at a combined 49% (in California only) and Biden, Bloomberg, Buttigieg and Klobuchar splitting 44%. Advantage Bernie.

The "experts" at the John Q. Public Institute give Bernie Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Vermont, Utah and California and the (split) moderates Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia. Except Bernie's polling strong in Texas, so it's a maybe. It wouldn't be if some of the others would get out of the way. California would still go to Bernie, but Biden would be a whole lot stronger without the others sucking off the moderate votes.

*** Californians don't seem to be all that bright. Or they forget the mission. They say that Biden is the best hope for beating Trump (by a good margin) but in the same polls they say they're voting for Bernie (by a bigger margin). :bonk:
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ShiftyMutt
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by ShiftyMutt » Sun Mar 01, 2020 12:17 pm

Yes. I kept checking FiveThirtyEight and Bernie had a very comfortable lead in Ca. So I went with the one coming in second. It came down to voting against him.
In the end, I'll vote 'blue no matter who' but it would be nice to actually be happy about it.

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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by John Q. Public » Sun Mar 01, 2020 2:14 pm

I looked over his shoulder. Biden.
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ShiftyMutt
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by ShiftyMutt » Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:27 pm

So Buttigieg is out which is smart for him to do at this point. Shoulda been a bit earlier though so the field would have been thinner well before Super Tuesday. Pretty sure many already voted for him. Hopefully his center/left followers will go with Biden.

He did fantastic for what he was up against.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:52 pm

Agreed. It's not his time now, but he has a bright future
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
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Donald Trump

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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by ShiftyMutt » Sun Mar 01, 2020 4:58 pm

If Bloomberg really doesn't want Bernie in there he should step aside, too.

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Omar Bongo
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Re: The Democrats are down to three?

Post by Omar Bongo » Sun Mar 01, 2020 5:19 pm

He can't bow out before Tuesday but I hope he does soon after
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
George Will

"How stupid is our country?"
Donald Trump

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