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Some polling nuggets - Page 8 - Orange County Forums

Some polling nuggets

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Wabash
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Wabash » Thu Jun 20, 2019 11:29 am

McConnell stated that admitting Puerto Rico as the 51st state would be socialism. :eh?:


They told me if I voted for Hillary Clinton the president would be emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable. They were right. I voted for Hillary Clinton and got a president that is emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable.

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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby broman » Thu Jun 20, 2019 12:08 pm

Some polling that Democrats need to take a close look at....

Apparently, education and intelligence do matter.

The changing demographics of the Republican party are interesting and perhaps explanatory of some voter behavior, especially in regard to the nature of die-hard Trump supporters. Generalizing, of course (because there are always exceptions), today's Republican party is older, whiter, and less educated than it has been in the past -- and compared to the demographic makeup of the opposition party.
The education level is especially telling. According to a Public Opinion Strategies report (based on NBC/Wall St. Journal data), in 2012, 40% of Republicans were college educated whites. In 2018, that demographic in the Trump-dominated Republican party slipped to just 29%. It is evident that the Republican party is losing college-educated voters and, perhaps, attracting more voters who are less educated.
https://www.smerconish.com/news/2019/6/ ... lectualism

2020 Dems face the same issue that Hillary faced in 2016. How do you convince these people that opportunity still exist for them in a nation with more diversity when their trusted media sources and leaders are telling them the sky is falling on a daily basis?

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John Q. Public
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Thu Jun 20, 2019 1:00 pm

An anomaly to that 29% number (which sounds totally believable these days): I saw a survey over the weekend that said that in Florida, the majority of college-educated men support Trump. I haven't seen that anywhere else.

And a note: "College educated" includes all fields of study, some of which lean pretty strongly Conservative. And it doesn't necessarily mean they're more politically savvy than non-college-educated people.
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:55 pm

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John Q. Public
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Sun Jun 30, 2019 11:51 am

My God, they are taking over! :wink:

lgbt political activity.jpg

Common sense, but it's interesting to see it as a graphic, no? Note that the non-LGBT numbers are pretty respectable, too. Young people aren't happy. Gay young people even less so.
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Thu Jul 04, 2019 8:20 am

The Republican candidate.

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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Sat Sep 07, 2019 10:52 am

So most any of the leading challengers, maybe even Williamson or Walsh could beat Trump, at least in the popular vote. Beto, as weak as he is nationally, could very well win Texas, with as many electoral votes as Pennsylvania and Ohio put together. Interesting.

TEXAS
Which one you would like to see as the Democratic presidential nominee?
[top responses]
Biden 24%
O’Rourke 18%
Warren 15%
Sanders 13%
Harris 4%
Castro 4%
Buttigieg 3%
Klobuchar 3%
Booker 2%
Yang 2%
Bullock 2%
(Texas Lyceum Poll, Democratic primary voters, 8/16-25/19)
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cruiser
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby cruiser » Fri Oct 04, 2019 1:32 pm

Trump approval rating per "The Hill-Harris X Survey and others at all time high, thoughts?

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Wabash
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Wabash » Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:12 pm

Still less than 50%.

Approval for impeachment has also gone up.
They told me if I voted for Hillary Clinton the president would be emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable. They were right. I voted for Hillary Clinton and got a president that is emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable.

cruiser
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby cruiser » Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:46 pm

I could be wrong but I'm thinking the impeachment process against Trump (maybe wrong) in
some ways is actually helping Trump for his 2020 election - he knows if it goes to the senate
it dies there any way.

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Wabash
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Wabash » Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:54 pm

It will also energize Dem voters.

It will force GOP senators to defend Trump. Which may cost the GOP the Senate.

Given that McConnell is not allowing over a 100 bills passed by the House to come to a vote, that is a good thing.
They told me if I voted for Hillary Clinton the president would be emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable. They were right. I voted for Hillary Clinton and got a president that is emotional, impulsive, and unpredictable.

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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby cruiser » Fri Oct 04, 2019 3:28 pm

.. would it not be a clusterF if the Dem's have control of both house and senate after next election
and Trump wins re-election,what a circus that would be...

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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Fri Oct 04, 2019 4:14 pm

His base has dug in its heels but his base isn't really a very large group - certainly not big enough to win an election.
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Wabash
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Wabash » Fri Oct 04, 2019 6:37 pm


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Omar Bongo
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Omar Bongo » Fri Oct 04, 2019 8:44 pm

"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
George Will

"How stupid is our country?"
Donald Trump

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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby John Q. Public » Sat Oct 05, 2019 3:15 pm

Donald's approval ratings by state, converted to electoral votes. Assuming, I guess, that disapproval would mean a vote for the other guy.

trump approval by state.png
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Omar Bongo
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Re: Some polling nuggets

Postby Omar Bongo » Sat Oct 05, 2019 5:37 pm

Poor South Carolina, shades of East Berlin...can they tiptoe along the NC-GA border to friendly territory?
"Trump is what he is, a floundering, inarticulate jumble of gnawing insecurities and not-at-all compensating vanities, which is pathetic."
George Will

"How stupid is our country?"
Donald Trump

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