Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Hanna
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Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby Hanna » Wed Sep 04, 2019 12:55 pm

As Democrats cruise toward their next debate later this month, and consider how far their party should move left along the way, here are some electoral facts to consider. Moderate voters have long been one of the most reliable constituencies for Democrats. Exit polls show that Democratic presidential candidates have won a majority of voters who identify themselves as moderates—as opposed to liberals or conservatives—in every election since 1988. Put differently, Democrats have carried moderate voters in every election since Ronald Reagan left the scene. But just prevailing among moderates isn’t enough. To win nationally, history shows, Democrats need to win them decisively. In every presidential election Democrats won in that time span, they carried moderates by more than a dozen percentage points. In the elections they lost—in 1988, 2000, 2004 and 2016—they failed to carry moderates by such a margin.

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Sen. Bernie Sanders, who has pulled the party left over the past four years, continues to set the pace. He already has proposed free medical care, free college tuition, college debt forgiveness and a $16 trillion climate-change plan. Then, over the weekend, his campaign said he would be unveiling a plan for the federal government to pay off $81 billion in Americans’ past-due medical debt. Not every Democrat is embracing the Sanders agenda, of course. But he isn’t an outlier either; along with former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Sanders stands in the top tier of Democratic candidates.

Meantime, the moderate ranks are thinning. Mr. Biden, who certainly is a moderate by today’s standards, remains the leader of the Democratic pack, and Sen. Amy Klobuchar will join him on the debate stage later this month. But other moderate voices are fading away: Former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper has left the race to run for the Senate, and Sen. Michael Bennet, Rep. Tim Ryan, former Rep. John Delaney, Montana Gov. Steve Bullock —all of whom argued for a more moderate agenda in the first two Democratic debates—have failed to qualify for the next one. That is just one sign that the primary-season energy is high on the left wing of the party this year. It is a dynamic that has some Democrats worried that the party has simply stopped talking to many of the moderate voters who again could prove critical in the general election.

(snip)

Mr. Zogby worries these traditional Democrats in the heart of the country aren’t hearing from today’s Democratic Party, focused as it is on millennials and coastal enclaves. “People will call them everything,” Mr. Zogby says. “They’re white working-class, moderate, ethnic votes. They’re swing voters, they’re Reagan Democrats.” He adds: “When I speak to them they say we didn’t leave the Democratic Party. They left us. They stopped talking to us.” Mr. Trump, of course, did talk to them in 2016, and attracted enough of them in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to win the White House, even while losing so many votes along the coast that he failed to win the national popular vote. A repeat is entirely possible, even though some of these moderate voters actually have been harmed by Trump trade policies.... One problem for Democrats, he adds, is that the national party’s current culture isn’t geared toward reaching such voters. Indeed, many Democrats think the 2020 election will be won simply by mobilizing the party’s progressive base. History, though, suggests that is a risky proposition.


https://www.wsj.com/articles/democrats- ... 1567432578 (paid subscription)



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Tommy Tar
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Re: Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby Tommy Tar » Thu Sep 05, 2019 3:10 pm

The democrats sill running are talking to the east and west coast. They need money and TV time. 2020 elections are still a long way away. #-o
‘I Haven’t Seen Democrats This Mad Since We Freed the Slaves!’..... Rob Schneider.

broman
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Re: Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby broman » Thu Sep 05, 2019 8:34 pm

Why would a Moderate reject the Democrats for moving left but not reject the direction Trump is leading the nation towards.

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John Q. Public
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Re: Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby John Q. Public » Thu Sep 05, 2019 10:27 pm

I don't think it's a matter of moderates "rejecting" the Democrats, maybe more like they're not too wild about some of their ideas. Most Americans are closer in thinking to the "radical left" than they are to the typical Republican these days and they're much closer than they are to Trump on most issues.

Democrats do need to change the rhetoric, though. As long as people are saying "free" healthcare, "free" tuition and "believe in climate change" like it's some kind of superstition, the Republicans are controlling the conversation. And it wouldn't hurt them to point out that "free" tuition isn't something new and it's how many of us got our educations. And it worked very well.

And the thinking on Trump's economy could use some reckoning. He's still polling well on "the economy" but he's polling miserably on the individual elements of it and the policies that are controlling it. Waiting to see if people catch on to that.
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Tommy Tar
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Re: Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby Tommy Tar » Fri Sep 06, 2019 10:56 am

CNN and the Human Rights Campaign Foundation have partnered to host the next Democratic presidential town hall, focused on LGBTQ issues.

CNN host Don Lemon made the announcement after the seven-hour Democratic presidential climate town hall on Wednesday.

"CNN is partnering with the Human Rights Campaign Foundation for our next series of presidential town halls on issues that are important to the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, and queer community," Lemon told viewers.

CNN's ratings remained behind competing news networks during Wednesday's highly promoted climate town hall, averaging 1.4 million viewers. MSNBC averaged 2.2 million and Fox News averaged 3.2 million viewers during the same hours.

The LGBTQ town hall is scheduled to take place at The Novo in Los Angeles on October 10. The candidates will appear consecutively, taking questions from the audience as well as CNN journalists.
=snip= *******************

CNN is making a Trump 2020 ad.
‘I Haven’t Seen Democrats This Mad Since We Freed the Slaves!’..... Rob Schneider.

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Vilepagan
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Re: Democrats Can't Afford to Leave Moderates Behind

Postby Vilepagan » Fri Sep 06, 2019 12:46 pm

Tommy Tar wrote:Source of the post CNN is making a Trump 2020 ad.


How much free publicity does the Democratic Party get every time trump opens his mouth?
There is no fire like passion, there is no shark like hatred, there is no snare like folly, there is no torrent like greed. - The Dhammapada

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