While it's accurate that 1,259 adults were reached on landlines or cell phones by a live interviewer for the survey, the 14-point margin by which Trump is trailing Biden came from a question posed only to 1,125 registered voters. It's typical for polling to sample registered voters rather than likely ones at this stage of the race, as it's difficult to project whether voters will participate in an election that is five months away. CNN, as do most public pollsters, typically reports results from likely voters around Labor Day.
Specifically, the NBC/WSJ poll on Sunday was among registered voters, not likely voters
That percentage of respondents, however, is consistent with several other major polls that use live telephone interviews, which provide the most reliable snapshot of the race. McLaughlin this week argued that pollsters should include a third of Republicans in surveys to reflect the 33% that they represented in the 2016 vote, but exit polls nearly always have higher shares of partisans and lower shares of independents than pre-election phone polls.
The refusal to screen for actual likely voters is creating an under-polling of Republicans and therefore Trump voters.Again this shorts Republicans about 7 points from the 2016 exit polls which had 33% Republicans
The poll [was] conducted between June 2 and 5
This poll was done May 28th through June 2nd and would not have a Friday’s great jobs impact.
(the day Trump was touting the phony favorable job numbers)
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/election ... r-BB15j0EJ
Well golly, other than that, every criticism seems spot on
Their take on the poll is just hilarious: "It's a stunt and a phony poll to cause voter suppression, stifle momentum and enthusiasm for the President..."
That's Trump's exact
political strategy against Biden
Oh, and one more thing..."McLaughlin & Associates...ranks as one of the least accurate pollsters in the industry, as measured by FiveThirtyEight" https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/